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i share the same sentiments as you, i am also a bit uneasy with the rally from last week. All indications are pointing towards a long and deep recession, and that is not just here in the US its worldwide, i have parents and brothers back home in India, and they have multiple retail stores, according to them business has slowed down and a lot of their friends have lost big time in the local stock market.
Remember my note during August, when the price was around 170s, and i noted that the runup from 150 to 180 in a matter of 7 days looked weird with all those upgrades.
i think the market will test the lows again. What do you say ??
Rajshree
The only advantage of the dollar drop will be our exports will be more competitive which MIGHT help out the industrial sector but again, demand destruction will mute this effect.
Do I think the market will do it? I give it a 50/50 shot. In the mean time, I'll make hay while the suns shining. But as soon as I see those clouds forming overhead, I'm running for the shelter.